{"id":25861,"date":"2019-01-24T13:00:58","date_gmt":"2019-01-24T21:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hughesmarino.com\/los-angeles\/?p=25861"},"modified":"2019-04-29T14:40:05","modified_gmt":"2019-04-29T21:40:05","slug":"the-year-ends-strong-for-los-angeles-cre-market-but-will-it-continue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hughesmarino.com\/los-angeles\/blog\/2019\/01\/24\/the-year-ends-strong-for-los-angeles-cre-market-but-will-it-continue\/","title":{"rendered":"The Year Ends Strong for Los Angeles\u2019 CRE Market, but Will it Continue?"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Tucker Hughes<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Los Angeles office market ended 2018 on a pronounced high note, which represented one of the strongest performing quarters in recent history.<\/p>\n

Overall vacancy countywide dropped from 10.2% to 9.7% from the end of the 3rd<\/sup><\/a>\u00a0to 4th<\/sup>\u00a0quarter.\u00a0The vacancy rate is now the lowest that it\u2019s been since the 4th<\/sup>\u00a0quarter of 2008 when it was a mere 7.3%.\u00a0The availability rate, which is a measure of all vacant space as well as occupied space that will become available in the future, dropped in a similar manner from 13.9% to 13.3% from the 3rd<\/sup>\u00a0to 4th<\/sup>\u00a0quarter.<\/p>\n

While an impressive amount of space was leased in the 4th<\/sup>\u00a0quarter, which contributed to the lower levels of available space, we also saw an unusually low amount of new space delivered to the market at just 177,000 square feet countywide.\u00a0The average amount of office space delivered per quarter for the prior two years is 648,000 square feet.\u00a0This is somewhat of an anomaly, and is unlikely to be experienced again, as there is currently 6.3 million square feet of office space under construction, which is the highest we\u2019ve seen in at least 25 years.<\/p>\n

Rental rates are also the highest they\u2019ve ever been\u2014ending the year at an average of $3.13 per square foot on a gross basis.\u00a0This is up from the pre-recession peak of $2.67 per square foot, which was logged in the 3rd<\/sup>\u00a0quarter of 2008.\u00a0While there have been widespread rental rate increases in most office submarkets due to lower vacancy, a non-trivial amount of the price increases is the result of premium prices for new construction being averaged into the existing base of office buildings.<\/p>\n

The fundamentals experienced in the industrial real estate market have been relatively consistent for the prior 36 months.\u00a02018 ended at a countywide vacancy rate for all industrial product of 2.4%.\u00a0This was down nominally from the prior two quarters which were both up from the 2.2% vacancy rate experienced in the 1st<\/sup>\u00a0quarter of the year.\u00a0It\u2019s important to remember that industrial vacancy rates have always been much lower than office vacancy rates in Los Angeles county.\u00a0The peak amount of vacancy we\u2019ve seen for industrial is 5.7%, which was in the 1st<\/sup>\u00a0quarter of 2010.\u00a0Since then we\u2019ve seen a steady decrease and then a flatlining since 2016.<\/p>\n

While occupancy levels are stable, rents have grown much more aggressively.\u00a02018 ended at an average triple net rental rate of $1.02 per square foot.\u00a0Since the start of 2011, this represents a nearly 8% rental growth rate, seriously exceeding most annual rental rate increases found in industrial leases, which generally are around 3% per year.<\/p>\n

More interestingly than Los Angeles County\u2019s industrial real estate market is the Inland Empire\u2019s blossoming inventory of logistics and manufacturing buildings, presently consisting of 615 million square feet of industrial space.\u00a0This is the release valve for Los Angeles County industrial users, and we\u2019ve seen a sharp decline in vacancy rates over the last nine years, as the market has moved from a 12.0% vacancy rate in the beginning of 2010 to 4.8% as of the end of the 4th<\/sup>\u00a0quarter of 2018.\u00a0Average rental rates have more than doubled over the same period, increasing from an average triple net rate of $0.35 per square foot to $0.71 per square foot.\u00a0The amount of space under construction remains at one of the highest levels we\u2019ve experienced at nearly 27 million square feet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Los Angeles office market ended 2018 on a pronounced high note, which represented one of the strongest performing quarters in recent history. Overall vacancy countywide dropped from 10.2% to 9.7% from the end of the 3rd to 4th quarter. The vacancy rate is now the lowest that it\u2019s been since the 4th quarter of 2008 when it was a mere 7.3%. The availability rate, which is a measure of all vacant space as well as occupied space that will become available in the future, dropped in a similar manner from 13.9% to 13.3% from the 3rd to 4th quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":25862,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1024],"tags":[],"publication":[],"video_type":[],"coauthors":[992],"class_list":["post-25861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-reports"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe Year Ends Strong for Los Angeles\u2019 CRE Market, but Will it Continue?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Managing Director Tucker Hughes details how the fourth quarter of 2018 ended strong for the Los Angeles commercial real estate market and what is ahead.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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